Monday, March 10, 2025

Cosmic Connections surrounding India's Champions Trophy 2025 victory

India's victory over New Zealand in the final of the Champions Trophy 2025 final has given the nation much to rejoice and cherish. It was a fantastic win and India's brand of white ball cricket has certainly been top notch and of the highest order. Their fantastic streak in the white ball game just keeps extending from strength to strength. They have now won 2 major championships within a span of 9 months, first with the marvellous victory in the T20 World Cup 2024 in June 2024 which came after a period of 11 years without a global trophy followed by this scintillating win in the Champions Trophy 2025 in March 2025. The only blemish was the unfortunate defeat at the hands of Australia in the home ODI World Cup of 2023. Taking all these events in unison, India has lost just one match across these 3 editions comprising of ODI World Cup, T20 World Cup and the Champions Trophy.

India also becomes the first side to win the Champions Trophy 3 times. They also attained a unique record by winning all their matches in this edition despite losing the toss every single time which is indeed quite a rare feat. The Indian men's team now has a tally of 7 global ICC cricket tournament victories with 3 CTs, 2 ODI WCs and 2 T20 WCs to boot. Rohit Sharma has now successfully led India to 2 major titles only being behind MS Dhoni who won India 3 titles by claiming a T20 WC, ODI WC and a CT. The other captains to have led India to world titles include Kapil Dev who won India's inaugural ODI World Cup 1983 and Saurav Ganguly who helped India win the Champions Trophy in a shared encounter with Sri Lanka in 2002.

This Champions Trophy victory however didn't come in to be so easy. There were lot of hoodoo's and strange incidents playing against India while taking the field for the final. India's final record in global events especially when held on a Sunday hasn't been a rosy picture with many painful defeats coming on this day. Normally across history, finals of any global sporting event gets played on a weekend to attract maximum crowd base and viewership. In the initial days when the ODI World Cup started, most of the finals were played on a Saturday but however off late majority of the final clashes invariably tend to take place on a Sunday. Let's briefly look at India's record in all the major finals played across limited overs internationals spanning the ODI World Cup, Champions Trophy and T20 World Cup.

1) Saturday - 25th June 1983 - ODI WC - India won by 38 runs against West Indies
2) Sunday - 15th Oct 2000 - CT - India lost by 4 wickets against New Zealand
3) Monday - 30th Sep 2002 - CT - India won but shared the trophy with Sri Lanka due to wash out
4) Sunday - 23rd Mar 2003 - ODI WC - India lost by 134 runs against Australia
5) Monday - 24th Sep 2007 - T20 WC - India won by 5 runs against Pakistan
6) Saturday - 2nd Apr 2011 - ODI WC - India won by 6 wickets against Sri Lanka
7) Sunday - 23rd Jun 2013 - CT - India won by 5 runs against England
8) Sunday - 6th Apr 2014 - T20 WC - India lost by 6 wickets against Sri Lanka
9) Sunday - 18th Jun 2017 - CT - India lost by 180 runs against Pakistan
10) Sunday - 19th Nov 2023 - ODI WC - India lost by 6 wickets against Australia
11) Saturday - 29th Jun 2024 - T20 WC - India won by 7 runs against South Africa
12) Sunday - 9th Mar 2025 - CT - India won by 4 wickets against New Zealand

Thus looking at the list above, India have won all 3 events when it took place on a Saturday. They also won 2 trophies when it was played on a Monday. The CT 2002 was scheduled initially on a Sunday but the match got rained off and moved to Monday which again resulted in the match being washed off by rain enabling India to share the trophy with tournament hosts Sri Lanka. The reason why the inaugural T20 WC 2007 final was held on Monday was because it was a public holiday on account of 'Heritage day' in South Africa deeming the final to be played on a Monday. Any day other than a weekend hosting a final is something one will not see often and is indeed quite a rare occasion. When it came to Sundays, out of 7 Sundays in which India has participated in finals, they have lost 5 and going in to the match against New Zealand they were 1-5 on the descendancy during finals held on Sunday. Some of the most damning defeats also have come on Sunday including a defeat almost a quarter century ago to New Zealand in this very own Champions Trophy in 2000. Also both India's final defeats in ODI WC came against Australia and behold both being Sundays. The last Champions Trophy final in 2017 also saw India getting a pasting by Pakistan by being served a royal thrashing. The only Sunday win which India enjoyed was on a rain affected final match on a late London evening in CT 2013 when the original 50 over match got rescheduled to 20 overs where India just about managed to pip England despite being on the back foot for most of the match. Thus Sundays in general haven't been to India's calling when it comes to major tournament finals.

When it comes to numbers, this happened to be the third straight global cricketing event which happened to be played on a date involving 9 in some way. 19th Nov 2023 was the final date of ODI WC 2023 with 29th June 2024 being the final date of T20 WC 2024 and the current Champions Trophy final was held on 9th March 2025. India had lost the ODI WC final in 2023 played on a Sunday whereas they won the T20 WC final played on a Saturday. Coming to the CT final of 2025, it was again played on a Sunday somewhat being stacked against India. In numerology, the normal tendency is to add up the digits to make it all within the ambit of 9 numbers. The previous CT final was held on 18th June 2017 where the date equated is 9 (1+8) and India got a hammering. This particular CT final was also on 9th March 2025 equating to 9 thus giving the jitters a wee bit. 

Coming to months, June has been pretty favourable for India with them winning an ODI World Cup, Champions Trophy and a T20 World Cup in this particular period. They however lost the CT final of 2017 in June. September is a month where India won both their finals viz the CT 2002 (shared) and T20 WC 2007. 2 titles have come in March (CT 2025) & April (ODI WC 2011) though both these months have also witnessed the team losing a final viz ODI WC 2003 in March & T20 WC 2014 in April. India have however only lost finals when played in October and November. Hence it's 3/4 in June, 2/2 in September, 1/2 in March, 1/2 in April, 0/1 in October and 0/1 in November. With respect to the dates within the months, India has been super successful in the 3rd part of the month ranging from dates 21st to 30th with 5 of their titles coming in dates of 23 (23rd Jun 2013 CT), 24 (24th Sep 2007 T20 WC), 25 (25th Jun 1983 ODI WC), 29 (29th Jun 2024 T20 WC) and 30 (30th Sep 2002 CT). The only one blemish was another 23 with India losing the ODI WC final on 23rd March 2003. In the first 10 days of the month, the success has been reasonable with India winning 2 titles (2nd Apr 2011 ODI WC and 9th Mar 2025 CT) but also losing 1 final (6th Apr 2014 T20 WC). The days between 11th to 20th has been outright worst for India as they have lost all 3 finals played during this time (15th Oct 2000 CT, 18th Jun 2017 CT and 19th Nov 2023 ODI WC). In terms of numerology dates, #2 has been very good for India with 2 of the most memorable triumphs coming on these dates (2nd Apr 2011 ODI WC and 29th Jun 2024 T20 WC). The other 5 titles have come on #3,5,6,7,9. In terms of losses, 2 of them have come on #6 date (15th Oct 2000 CT and 6th Apr 2014 T20 WC) while others have been spread across dates of #1,5,9

Another cosmic connection at play happens to be the colour of the jersey. Ever since coloured clothing became a thing with Limited Overs Internationals beginning from the 1992 ODI World Cup onwards, India have largely sported a predominant colour of "Blue". Each of the planets ruling a day are generally associated with a colour and it might be strange but history has witnessed that specific colours worn on select days have had quite a say. Listing below the days which are ruled by the planets and the  associated colour

Sunday - Sun - Orange (Also can be copper color which is orangish red or reddish brown)
Monday - Moon - White (Generally said to be Milky White)
Tuesday - Mars - Red (Associated with Blood Red colour)
Wednesday - Mercury - Green (Shades of Green both light and dark)
Thursday - Jupiter - Yellow (Any type of Yellow or even Gold colour)
Friday - Venus - White/Blue (More of Curdish White and lighter shade of Blue)
Saturday - Saturn - Black (Pitch dark black or a semblance of a dark blue colour)

Generally, you would see that Sunday, Tuesday and Thursday ruled by Sun, Mars and Jupiter get along well with one another. Australia have been very successful in cricketing finals held on Sunday with the Yellow colour proving to be very prominent. Even the West Indies who normally wear shades of Red/Maroon have seemingly been reasonably successful in finals when held on Sunday. The colours of Wednesday, Friday and Saturday ruled by Mercury, Venus & Saturn are said to be more in sync with each other. Monday ruled by Moon tends to be quite neutral and gets along with both pairs in equal elan. There is a saying that Moon has no enemies. In the second set, Venus ruling Friday & Saturn ruling Saturday are said to be hardcore enemies with Sun who rules the day of Sunday but however this exception does not hold true for Mercury which rules Wednesday. Hence Green colour is equally prominent for both Saturdays and Sundays with the former perhaps being a touch more favourable. In fact South Africa who have won 4 Rugby World Cups have won all their 4 finals when played on a Saturday. They however lost the T20 WC final played against India on a Saturday. 

For India who sports significantly the blue colour, Saturdays have been very successful with them winning all their 3 big ticket final encounters. Even the odd Monday has proved lucky. However Sunday ruled by Sun hasn't really been to India's favour with Venus & Sun seeing bitter enmity. The one thing which worked excessively to India's favour in the CT final of 2025 is that their opponent New Zealand were donning black attire which again is very unfavourable on a Sunday with the enmity of Saturn & Sun being equally or more worse than between Venus & Sun. It would be very interesting to note that when the Kiwis toppled India in the CT final on a Sunday 25 years back in 2000, they were not wearing cardinal black and in fact had streaks of Green & Grey which tilted the tide in their favour. It must also be said that New Zealand's record has been pathetic on all the finals when they have gone with full black. They lost the 2015 ODI WC to Australia badly, had a massive heartbreak by losing to England in the ODI WC of 2019 on boundary count. This continued in the 2021 T20 WC as well when they lost the final to Australia in the UAE. Ironically, the Kiwis only major white ball cricketing triumph came when they were not in full black in CT 2000. The All Blacks are a successful Rugby side and all their 3 victories so far came when they played the final on a Saturday. Their 2 defeats in finals came to South Africa who wear green which was also on a Saturday. Generally it is seen that when a team wears a colour which rules that day plays against a team where the colour also happens to be favourable, the former tends to lose because of the colour being overbearing and working against it.

In this particular final of CT 2025, one advantage which India had was that New Zealand too wore a colour of Black which is completely inimical on the day of Sunday which played to India's advantage unlike the 2000 Champions Trophy final. It is been advised that Black colour especially has an extremely negative effect on Sunday. India obviously had the mastery of their squad working tricks on the Kiwis but no denying that this jersey colour effect also played against them. One other interesting coincidence to note is that in the T20 WC final 2024, the top scorer and Man of the Match was Virat Kohli for scoring 76 and voila the same thing repeated in the CT Final 2025 where the top scorer and player of the match was Rohit Sharma who also garnered the same score of 76 with the bat. 

Thus when you look at the overall scheme of things, these tend to be interesting takeaways. Whatever said and done, the skill sets, temperament and will to win is what reigns supreme and these things tend to take a backseat when the former tends to be paramount. However there is no refuting the fact that in sport, luck also does have an element and these superstitions and cosmic energies have proved to be of consequence at least as per the patterns at play and what history has suggested in the past.

Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Decoding Nifty Lows and Levels to Track

2025 has begun on an extremely sombre note for the Indian markets with stocks getting battered and bruised brutally. The pain for the large caps have gotten extensive whereas the Mid Caps and Small Caps have got a pounding pummelling. Investor sentiments have been dented severely and even a recovery may not help in confidence getting restored. The reason is because the fall happens to be a little too hard to digest because just months ago Nifty was scaling new peaks with market moguls shouting to the rooftops about this being a simply unstoppable euphoric wave only for it to dissipate almost beyond repair just few months down the line.

The Indian markets always tend to show extreme frenziness both on the upside as well as downside. When the ride was smooth, it appeared as the markets were heading towards uncharted territories with reality of even a Nifty 30,000 and Sensex 100,000 not really expected to be a distant dream. At the same time the way it has plummeted much against the tide despite the global markets largely staying put tends to defy logic. But that's the way it is and the Indian markets have always been known to make drastic moves with induced volatility and heightened unpredictability.

Coming to the actual indices points equation, the way as it stands today as of end February is that Nifty is just within striking distance of breaking the 22,000 barrier. In fact on 4th March 2025, it has even slipped below the 22,000 mark registering a new low of 21,964.60. Nifty 50 has completed a fall of well over 4,000 points from the time it registered it's record high of 26,277.35 on the 27th of September 2024. The large caps have been hit no doubt but the pain in the broader market has been even more unrelenting and unending. Falls are part and parcel of the game but one feels this is being overdone.

It would be good to analyse few data points with respect to the Nifty pattern since the beginning of 2024. The year 2024 in general was a good year for the Nifty 50 index except for the last quarter of the year when the correction started setting afoot. It was the year 2024 when Nifty hit plenty of 1000 point milestones with the landmarks of 22000, 23000, 24000, 25000 and 26,000 all being breached. All these however happened within the first 9 months of the year from Jan to Sep. October was a watershed moment with record selling by the FIIs making the Nifty to cart and since then it's been one way street downhill which has only extended much into 2025.

One important point to note is that in 2024, despite Nifty 50 constantly hitting new peaks and milestones, it always got pulled back within a short span of time only to retrace back and reach newer heights. This was pretty much evident especially in the first 3 quarters of the year. After the election results, Nifty saw a major wave on the upside reaching the magical mark of 26,277.35 in September end and after that started tanking with 5 straight months of fall from Oct'24 to Feb'25 which is the first time it has happened in 29 years since it's inception in 1996. 

Let's briefly look at the dilly dally pattern affiliated with Nifty in the first 3 quarters of 2024 from Jan 2024 to Sep 2024

Jan 2024:
15th Jan,  Nifty scales a new peak of 22,115
29th Jan, Nifty gets pulled back to 21,433
Difference 682 points

Feb 2024:
2nd Feb, Nifty again forges ahead to hit new lifetime high of 22,126
14th Feb, Within less than a fortnight tanks again to hit a low of 21,543
Difference 583 points 

Mar 2024:
11th Mar, Nifty comes back hard to register another new high of 22,526
20th Mar, In just about a week Nifty gets backtracked sharply and falls to a low of 21,710
Difference 816 points 

Apr 2024:
10th Apr, Nifty again on the attack usurping it's previous high to reach new summit of 22,775
19th Apr, Nifty gets hammered once again on the downside to reach a low of 21,777
Difference 998 points

May 2024:
3rd May, Nifty makes a surge to hit another record high of 22,794 falling agonisingly close to 22,800
13th May, Nifty falls back sharply to register a low of 21,828
Difference 966 points

27th May, the month was not done yet with Nifty leapfrogging again to touch 23,000 and hit a new lifetime high of 23,110
30th May Within 3 sessions it again retraces sharply to fall all the way back to 22417
Difference 693 points

Jun 2024:
3rd June - On the back of exit poll results Nifty jumps big time to break new all time high heading all the way up to 23338
4th June - Just the next day, on account of election results not being as per pollsters, Nifty falls drastically to hit an intra-day low of 21281
Difference 2057 points

Jul 2024:
19th July - It took less than a week for Nifty to regain back it's high by Jun 10th and since then it was on a one dimensional way up registering a record high of 24,854
25th July - The same story took place yet again albeit after a small interval of time where Nifty got hammered back over 600 points to fall to a low of 24,210
Difference 644 points

Aug 2024:
1st Aug - The recovery was as swift as the blink of an eyelid with Nifty racing ahead to the 25,000 mark reaching a new high of 25,078
5th Aug - There was immediately a massive fall due to rising tensions in Japan on account of Yen carry trade making the index to tank over 1000 points to reach an intra-day low of 23,893
Difference 1185 points

Sep 2024:
27th Sep - Nifty again regained it's lost glory to seek newer pastures hitting the landmark of 26,277.35

After Sep 2024, Nifty has been on a one way downside movement with the falls extending intensely  with first 26,000 being broken followed by 25,000, 24,000, 23,000 and within touching distance of breaking the 22,000 barrier as well in the 5 month period from Oct 2024 to Feb 2025.

Let's plot the downfall of Nifty every month beginning from Oct'24 and extending up to Feb'25 marking a record 5 continuous negative closing periods.

Sep'24 close: 25,810
Oct'24 close: 24,205 - Fall of 1605 points - 6.22%
Nov'24 close: 24,131 - Fall of 74 points - 0.03%
Dec'24 close: 23,644 - Fall of 487 points - 2.02%
Jan'25 close: 23,508 - Fall of 136 points - 0.06%
Feb'25 close: 22,124 - Fall of 1384 points - 5.89%

The total fall from lifetime high of 26,277 registered on 27th Sep 2024 to close of markets on 28th Feb 2025 where it ended at 22,124 happens to be a whopping 4,153 points which in percentage terms leads to a down tick of 15.80%.

Let's now look at the support levels for Nifty and which zones it needs to fiercely protect in order to not capsize much further and create further panic and roughening up investor sentiment.

-> First up is the psychological mark of 22,000. Nifty has hit a low of 22,004 in it's first session of March 2025 but just agonisingly managed to hold the fortress of 22,000 from being breached. However in the next session, 22,000 was breached to slip towards a level of 21,964.60 but however managed to recover closing the day well above 22,000. This range is however in grave threat and it looks like it's just a matter of time before this may be tested yet again.

-> Next up is the mark of 21,800. Incidentally 21,801.45 was the highest point reached by Nifty in the year 2023. It will strongly look towards holding that level and not breaking further to induce plenty of chaos in the system. Around 21,800 levels is also where the Nifty closed on the election day 4th Jun 2024 (21,884.50) after having a bazooka fall and recovering quite a number of points by close when the results were more or less crystallised.

-> After that is the level of 21,281. Nifty nosedived to hit an intra-day low of 21,281.45 on Jun 4th 2024 which was the day when the Lok Sabha election results were announced.

-> Closing on it's heels is the speckle of 21,137 (21,137.20) which happens to be the Nifty low in the entire year of 2024.

-> Again in nearby range happens to be the sacrosanct figure of 21,021 which would be a striking fall of 20% (21,021.85) from recent all time high of 26,277.35 putting the Nifty officially into bear territory.

-> Lastly in the series would be the broader mark of 21,000 which is virtually on the same levels of the bear market territory. If 21,000 happens to be taken out there is no doubt pandemonium will swing to the ultimatum inducing colossal levels of panic. 

There is no hard and fast rule that Nifty cannot fall below 21,000. A 25% fall from the high can even take it below 20,000 levels making hell break loose big time. However it has to happen one by one and for now it's very essential that Nifty holds up and prevents itself from falling below the 21,000 figure. It does however look very bleak that Nifty will be able to regain it's lifetime high in the year 2025 going by the trends at play. Every year since the last many years Nifty has always bounced back to reach new highs. This time however it has it's back against the walls and almost needs to defy odds to go past the whistling number of 26,277.35 in 2025. It's going to be a roller coaster ride and surely it's going to be curious how the fortune swings. At the end of the day, markets are supreme and they will do it's thing.

Thursday, February 13, 2025

Divisions of Time in a Day

There are different ways in which a day is reckoned as per the Hindu calendar when compared to the conventional system which is used for all practical purposes. As per normal wisdom it is generally perceived and believed that a day commences at the stroke of midnight right at the dot of 12 AM at any part of the world and runs up till the next day when 24 hours passes paving the way for the next day to begin. This is evident with new year celebrations being held right at the stroke of 12 AM and even while wishing people Birthdays, there is a notion to wish them right on the money when the clock hits 12 AM. Even India is said to have obtained Independence right at the stroke of midnight at the mark of 12 AM when the date moved to 15th August 1947.

Having said all this, the interesting thing to note is that based on Hinduism there is a sea of difference when it comes to how a day is to be reckoned. For a Hindu day, the guiding reference point happens to be the time of Sunrise and a day is said to commence from sunrise until the next day of sunrise when the next day is said to commence. Because the sunrise time holds fort, one would see different places recording different times of start and end when reckoning a day. Even coming to general logic, in many of the calendars one would see a start time of 6 AM igniting the start of the day as it happens to be the closest approximate ball park time when sunrise is said to occur across India and most other countries. However to be exact and when fixing the time for important events, only sunrise time needs to be taken and 6AM should be considered just for ease of use and as an approximate calculation. Thus, there is a clear head and shoulders difference of at least 6 hours when a day is reckoned as per practical norms (12 AM) and when considering the time for fixing and calculating auspicious time intervals (6AM) as per the Hindu system. 

Before delving into the different time divisions as per the Hindu system, let us briefly look into the different time horizons popular in the western world. These are not exactly defined but generally tends to be followed. On a larger framework, a day tends to be divided into 3 parts viz Morning, Afternoon and Evening. Morning is said to run from Midnight (12AM) until Midday (12PM) followed by a 6 hour slot for Afternoon running from 12PM to 6PM and the remaining 6 hours of the day namely from 6PM to 12AM being the time of Evening. This can be extended into 7 zones with the ending period being given separate names with 12AM being classified as Midnight, 12PM called as Midday, 6AM or around sunrise termed as Dawn and around 6PM or sunset being classified as Dusk. This can again be classified into 14 parts with Afternoon comprising of Early Afternoon, Mid Afternoon and Late Afternoon, Evening consisting of Early Evening, Mid Evening, Late evening and entire Morning portion which runs from 12AM to 12PM being classified as Late Night, Early Morning, Mid Morning and Late Morning and on top of that we have the 4 markers of Midday, Midnight, Dawn and Dusk. Sometimes it is also believed that the split of the day which is divided into 3 viz Morning, Afternoon and Evening can actually be split as 4 with equal windows for Morning, Afternoon, Evening and also a Night portion included from 12AM to 6PM. 

Let's now look at the various time divisions in a day which are prevalent in the Indian system

2 part time division: (1 in day and 1 in night)
As mentioned earlier, the constitution of a Hindu or Vedic day runs from the commencement of sunrise until the next sunrise. The entire day from Sunrise to next day Sunrise is divided into 2 portions viz the part from Sunrise to Sunset and from Sunset to next day Sunrise. The former is known as day time and the latter is known as night time. The time duration may not be equal for both but for an equal day and night portion in a day, it can be said to comprise of 12 hours each with sunrise portion running from 6AM to 6PM and Sunset portion from 6PM to 6AM of next day.

4 part time division: (2 in day and 2 in night)
As per Tamil timekeeping, dividing the day into 4 portions is called as 'Naal Naanku Kaalam' translating to four periods of the day. They are classified as under:
1) Kaalaiyil (Morning): 6 AM to 12 PM
2) Mathiyil (Afternoon): 12 PM to 6 AM
3) Maalai (Evening): 6 PM to 12 AM
4) Iravu (Night): 12 PM to 6 AM

6 part time division: (3 in day and 3 in night)
As per Tamil tradition, an entire day happens to be divided into 6 periods ('Pozhudhugal') with 3 of the periods being during day time and 3 of the periods occurring during night time. The classification is as given below:
1) Kaalai (Morning): 6 AM to 10 AM
2) Nanpagazh (Noon): 10 AM to 2 PM
3) Yerpaadu (Afternoon): 2 PM to 6 PM
4) Maalai (Evening): 6 PM to 10 PM
5) Yamam (Night): 10 PM to 2 AM
6) Vaigarai (Dawn): 2 AM to 6 AM

Coming to Astrology treatise, as per the age old classic "Brihat Parashara Hora Shastra", one of the features in ascertaining the six fold strength of planets is through the rule of Tribhagha Bala where day and night is said to be divided into 3 equal parts with specific planets gaining strength accordingly based on the time of birth. The information of the same is shared below:
Day Time First Part: 6 AM to 10 AM - Mercury becomes strong
Day Time Second Part: 10 AM to 2 PM - Sun becomes strong
Day Time Third Part: 2 PM to 6 PM - Saturn becomes strong
Night Time First Part: 6 PM to 10 PM - Moon becomes strong
Night Time Second Part: 10 PM to 2 AM - Venus becomes strong
Night Time Third Part: 2 AM to 6 AM - Mars becomes strong
Jupiter is always said to be strong at any point of the day or night. Also as per one tradition, it is said that Jupiter is the torchbearer of the Panchang element of 'Vara' which makes perfect sense based on its assertion that it's always strong irrespective of whether birth takes place during day time or night time.

8 part time division: (4 in day and 4 in night)
There is another time division which divides an entire day into 8 parts allotting 4 parts to the day and 4 parts to the night. This is called 'Prahara' which is a Sanskrit term for unit of time. The first Prahara is said to begin at Sunrise and the 4th Prahara is said to end when Sunset begins. Likewise the 5th Prahara starts when Sunset begins and the last Prahara ends with the completion of Sunset leading to Sunrise of the next day.  The names of the Praharas and the time slot of approximately 3 hours each is listed below
1) Purvaanha (Day): 6 AM to 9 AM
2) Madhyaanha (Day): 9 AM to 12 PM
3) Aparaanha (Day): 12 PM to 3 PM
4) Saayankaala (Day): 3 PM to 6 PM
5) Pradosha (Night): 6 PM to 9 PM
6) Nishitha (Night): 9 PM to 12 AM
7) Triyaama (Night): 12 AM to 3 AM
8) Usha (Night): 3 AM to 6 AM

10 part time division: (5 in day and 5 in night)
Somewhat similar to Prahara, there is another sub division as per the Hindu calendar which divides both the day time hours and night time hours into 5 equal parts. For an equal day and night, this would equate to 2 hours 24 minutes each. The names of it is given below
1) Prata (Day): 6 AM to 8:24 AM
2) Sangava (Day): 8:24 AM to 10:48 AM
3) Madhyahna (Day): 10:48 AM to 1:12 PM
4) Aparaanha (Day): 1:12 PM to 3:36 PM
5) Sayana (Day): 3:36 PM to 6 PM
6) Pradosha (Night): 6 PM to 8:24 PM
7) Ratri (Night): 8:24 PM to 10:48 PM
8) Madhya Ratri (Night): 10:48 PM to 1:12 AM
9) Apa Ratri (Night): 1:12 AM to 3:36 AM
10) Prata Sandhya (Night): 3:36 AM to 6 AM

Also, as per ancient tamil literature, there is a system called as 'Pancha Pakshi' where Pancha means the number '5' and Pakshi means 'Bird'. It is believed that the 5 elements of Air, Fire, Water, Earth and Ether are represented by these birds and each of these birds Vulture, Owl, Crow, Cock and Peacock performs an activity for the 2 hours and 24 minutes allotted which includes Eating, Walking, Ruling, Sleeping and Dying. The method of splitting the day time and night time into 5 parts is termed as 'Yama'.
For more detailed discourse on Pancha Pakshi Shastra, one can refer to the below link:
https://tuningmymelody.blogspot.com/2019/04/time-technique-of-pancha-pakshi-shastra.html?m=0

16 part time division: (8 in day and 8 in night)
This classification of time is of prime importance as it's actually used for decoding auspicious and inauspicious time slots within a day. There are three different methodologies which is earmarked in the calculation of the definition of time.

Kala Vela: This is used to mark the designated time zones by each of the 7 planets viz Sun, Moon, Mars, Mercury, Jupiter, Venus and Saturn. There are 8 periods of about 1 hour and 30 minutes each within Sunrise and Sunset but only 7 planets to be assigned. Hence the extra portion is considered to be headless and a blank or Lordless portion is assigned to it. There is however a thought process given to mention it as Rahu but that portion is not necessarily the time period for 'Rahu Kalam' and hence should not be confused. The time period ruled by Jupiter and Saturn are said to be Yama Ghanta Kala and Gulika Kala respectively which is used in ascertaining time slots for activities.

Gowri Panchanga: This is used especially in Tamil Nadu especially to delineate important activities to be performed based on allotting the time slots into 8 each for sunrise and sunset. Here the 8 parts are assigned to the 7 planets Sun, Moon, Mars, Mercury, Jupiter, Venus and Saturn and the 8th portion is given specifically to Rahu and that forms the basis for Rahu Kalam which is used quite extensively as a period to avoid in the South especially while performing auspicious tasks.

Chogadiya: This is again kind of similar to Gowri Panchanga but sticks to only 7 planets excluding Rahu and there is also no blank portion as given by Kala Vela. This is used like a Muhurtha timing in the North of India and the 8th portion within Sunrise again happens to be the planet ruling the first portion and the sequence follows in similar vein across the whole day.

It should be noted that the calculation differs for all of Kala Vela, Gowri Panchanga and Chogadiya depending upon the weekday in operation. A detailed exposition listing out the uses and it's calculation has been laid out below in this link:
https://tuningmymelody.blogspot.com/2019/11/the-8-unit-division-of-time-cycle-kala.html?m=0

24 part time division: (24 in entire day from Sunrise to next day Sunrise)
This concept is called as 'Hora' which divides the entire day from Sunrise to next day Sunrise allotting one hour each for all 7 planets viz Sun, Moon, Mars, Mercury, Jupiter, Venus and Saturn. The day always starts with the Hora ruling the day viz Sun for Sunday, Moon for Monday, Mars for Tuesday, Mercury for Wednesday, Jupiter for Thursday, Venus for Friday and Saturn for Saturday. There is a debate however whether this needs to be split as 12 each for Sunrise and Sunset respectively but it does not really serve the element of 'Hora' which technically means Hour or 60 minutes. If Sunrise time happens to be let's say 13 hours and Sunset only 11 hours, then almost 65 minutes will be assigned for a planet during day time and only 55 minutes during night time. It defeats the very existence of the name 'Hora' and the time span between one sunrise to next sunrise is always on the ball park of 24 hours with just a minute or two adjusted here or there which makes one hour for a planet being assigned far more weight age. The Hora gets calculated in the order of the most slowest planet to the most fastest planet which goes in the form of Saturn -> Jupiter -> Mars -> Sun -> Venus -> Mercury -> Moon.

A more detailed explanation of the concept of Hora and how it's calculation is obtained is available on the below link:
https://tuningmymelody.blogspot.com/2019/04/timing-events-with-gowri-panchanga-and.html?m=0

30 part time division: (15 in day and 15 in night)
This is termed as 'Muhurta' and is of utmost importance when fixing time for various events. There are 30 Muhurta's in a day with 15 being part of day time and the remaining 15 considered during night time. 'Muhurta' is a Hindu unit of time and denotes a division of a period of 1/30th of a day which is roughly 48 minutes each. Each Muhurta is said to further break into smaller units of time such as 1 Muhurta of 48 minutes can be segregated into 30 Kalas (1 Kala = 1.6 Minutes or 96 seconds) and each Kala can be further bifurcated into 30 Kashtas (1 Kashta = 3.2 seconds). The list of all Muhurta's and their timing of operation for an equal day & night is listed below.
1) Rudra: 6.00 AM to 6:48 AM
2) Ahi: 6:48 AM to 7:36 AM
3) Mitra: 7:36 AM to 8:24 AM
4) Pitr: 8:24 AM to 9:12 AM
5) Vasu: 9:12 AM to 10:00 AM
6) Varaha: 10:00 AM to 10:48 AM
7) Viswadeva: 10:00 AM to 11:36 AM
8) Vidhi: 11:36 AM to 12:24 PM
9) Sutamukhi: 12:24 PM to 1:12 PM
10) Puruhuta: 1:12 PM to 2:00 PM
11) Vahini: 2:00 PM to 2:48 PM
12) Naktanakara: 2:48 PM to 3:36 PM
13) Varuna: 3:36 PM to 4:24 PM
14) Aryaman: 4:24 PM to 5:12 PM
15) Bhaga: 5:12 PM to 6:00 PM
16) Girisa: 6:00 PM to 6:48 PM
17) Ajapada: 6:48 PM to 7:36 PM
18) Ahir Budhanya: 7:36 PM to 8:24 PM
19) Pushya: 8:24 PM to 9:12 PM
20) Ashwini: 9:12 PM to 10:00 PM
21) Yama: 10:00 PM to 10:48 PM
22) Agni: 10:48 PM to 11:36 PM
23) Vidhatr: 11:36 PM to 12:24 AM
24) Kanda: 12:24 AM to 1:12 AM
25) Aditi: 1:12 AM to 2:00 AM
26) Jeeva: 2:00 AM to 2:48 AM
27) Vishnu: 2:48 AM to 3:36 AM
28) Dyumadgadyuti: 3:36 AM to 4:24 AM
29) Brahma: 4:24 AM to 5:12 AM
30) Samudra: 5:12 AM to 6:00 AM

60 part time division: (60 in entire day from Sunrise to next day Sunrise)
Like how 24 hours constitutes a day, as per Hindu division each of 24 minutes are termed as 'Ghati' running from Sunrise till the next day Sunrise. There is no separate name available for every Ghati or and it's usually a unit of time. If a day from sunrise to next day sunrise exceeds or falls mildly short of 24 hours, then the Ghati is adjusted accordingly but in general a Ghati is said to constitute 24 minutes. In the olden days, horoscopes were written to decode the time based on Ghati's and Vighati's (60 Vighati's is 1 Ghati) elapsed as compared to the procedure today when the exact time is mentioned. Like Hora which is said to be an hour of time running across Sunrise to next day Sunrise, similarly Ghati comprises of 60 components with a running time of 24 minutes each. However it should be noted that for the calculation of Mandi alone, Ghati needs to be divided as 30 each in the period of Sunrise and Sunset as the formula for computation is clearly elucidated in the astrological work 'Uttara Kalamrita' written by Sage Kalidas which mentions that Mandi is said to rise accordingly in a day based on the Ghati's elapsed during day time and night time. It is also to be noted that this will always fall somewhere in the middle of the portion assigned to Saturn in the Kala Vela calculation viz Gulika Kala.
Sunday - 26 Ghatikas after sun rise, 10 Ghatikas after sun set
Monday - 22 Ghatikas after sun rise, 6 Ghatikas after sun set
Tuesday - 18 Ghatikas after sun rise, 2 Ghatikas after sun set
Wednesday - 14 Ghatikas after sun rise, 26 Ghatikas after sun set
Thursday - 10 Ghatikas after sun rise, 22 Ghatikas after sun set
Friday - 6 Ghatikas after sun rise, 18 Ghatikas after sun set
Saturday - 2 Ghatikas after sun rise, 14 Ghatikas after sun set

There is even a consideration to divide a day into 32 parts each for day and night so as to blend well with it being a multiple of 8 as a 'Yamardha' is technically said to be an eighth part of a day. This would equate well with the division of Kala Vela which divides the day and night into 8 equal parts and the Mandi will fall exactly in the middle of the Saturn's portion assigned as Gulika Kala. However it doesn't make complete sense as a day is said to be comprising of 60 Ghatika's only and 64 (32 each for day and night) is used just for ease of use and get the exact middle point. Irrespective Mandi will always fall only in the period of Gulika in and around the middle portion. For more information regarding the calculation of Gulika and Mandi, the below link can be referred.
https://tuningmymelody.blogspot.com/2018/09/ascertaining-gulika-and-mandi-in.html

Note: It should be noted that 'Ghati' is also known alternatively as Ghatika, Nazhika, Pala etc and is known as a unit of time equal to one sixtieth of a day. Also all the times mentioned above is based on the fact that Sunrise begins at 6:00 AM and Sunset at 6:00 PM. The computation of different facets of time should be factored based upon the actual sunrise time and not standard 6:00 AM. It is not expected to remember all the different units of time however remembering some of the important time dimensions can be helpful such as decoding Yama Ghanta Kala and Gulika Kala which occurs based on 'Kala Vela' computation, Rahu Kalam which arises based upon 'Gowri Panchanga', knowing time of Hora and Muhurta in operation can also be helpful but however can always be checked from an Almanac. It would however be good to know the Sunrise and Sunset timings each day of the particular place one is residing as that forms the crux for majority of the time divisions.

Monday, January 13, 2025

Apt the showstopper!

The one song which has perhaps taken the entire world by storm is the insanely catchy foottapping dance number by the duo of Rose and Bruno Mars titled 'Apt'. It's become such a rage that virtually every other Insta Reel that pops out plays this tune and it's simply impossible to miss this with one invariably tending to shake the leg to it's booming beats and upbeat sounds.

It's garnered such a spectacular response in such a short span of time that it's been nothing short of a showstopper. The song as such is not a technical masterpiece by any counts but it's been instantly lapped up largely due to the fun and playful elements interspersed in the lyrics along with a sparkling vibe that has made it quite infectious.

I tried taking a stab at this on the veena and it turned out to be a quite a joyous experience. The repetitive lyrics and flow of the song which goes all topsy turvy made it pretty enjoyable to try out. It is based predominantly on the ever popular raga of Natabhairavi which corresponds to the natural minor scale. Simply just tried to capture a wee bit of the essence of this snappy sizzling number which has captivated the global audience at large.

Friday, January 3, 2025

Nifty 50's 5 year journey from 2020-2024

In the last 5 years, India's benchmark market index the Nifty 50 has had quite a rollercoaster 🎢 ride swinging in all sorts of directions by sky rocketing at times and also nose diving at other times leading to plenty of twists and turns. The volatility especially over the last couple of years has been immense and it's really taken both traders and investors for a ride. From the outset, it would look like the returns have been favourable at large but there have also been moments where it's been tepid and at times almost on a comatose mode.

Let's take a look at some of the numbers in actuality to see how the Nifty has actually performed. On 31st Dec 2019 Nifty closed at 12,168.45 with opening price witnessed on 1st Jan being just on the ball park of 12,200 with 12,202.15 being the exact number. From a starting base of 12,168.45, Nifty reached an all time high of 26,277.35 on 27th Sep 2024 and hit a lowest point of 7,511.10 on 24th Mar 2020 on the back of the news over the Corona Virus outbreak.

There are a number of parameters affecting market performance. Uncertainty is probably the single biggest factor leading to market declines. One pattern which can be observed is that whenever markets have rescinded badly, they have bounced back equally well like a springboard with full force. This is not just over the last 5 years but generally across eternity. The falls have almost universally been really swift but the rises have been relatively slower leading to the popular coinage of the phrase 'Markets go down in elevator but rises through staircase'. But the underlying factor and undermining characteristic take away is that Markets always come back and eventually leap higher.

The last 5 years is a good indicator to understand the phenomenon of markets. There were number of worldwide events which crippled the index for a wee bit of time but it always found a way to get out of the crisis eventually moving higher and bolstering to new all time highs along the way. Let's look at some of the historic events that sabotaged the Nifty pulling it down from it's tracks and how it rebounded time and again.

As per stock market parlance, a fall from recent highs in points is usually associated with the following names

5% Fall - Pullback
10% Fall - Correction
20% Fall - Bear Market
30% Fall - Market Crash
50% Fall - Recession

2020:
The Nifty 50 index had reached a new all time high of 12,430.50 on the 20th Jan 2020 after which the pandemic in the form of Corona Virus took place hammering and tonking the markets almost beyond repair. In a small span of 2 months, the Nifty carted and caved in to fall towards a significant low point of 7511.10 leading to a brutal fall of almost 40% (39.58%). The markets however recovered sharply almost going up 100% first reclaiming the earlier all time high on 9th Nov 2020, then capturing the milestone mark of 13000 on 24th Nov 2020 and then hitting another significant landmark of 14000 on the last day of the year viz 31st Dec 2020.

2021:
Compared to the 'V' shaped recovery witnessed in 2020, the year 2021 was relatively less chaotic. The magical milestone mark of 15,000 was reached for the first time on 5th Feb 2021 catapulting to an unassailable 100% rise from the lows witnessed just 10-11 months back in March 2020. The Nifty hit a new high of 15,431.75 on 16th Feb 2021 after which it saw a consolidation for about 3 months before again regaining a new high on 28th May 2021. The Nifty was teetering along these levels for a while before getting to the landmark of 16,000 for the first time on 3rd Aug 2021 and in the very same month usurped itself to another historic high of 17,000 on 31st Aug 2021. 18,000 also was reached very fast on 11th Oct 2021 and it went on to hit a high of 18,604.45 on 19th Oct before retracing and entering into correction territory on 20th Dec reaching a low of 16,410.20 on the back of re-occurrence of new covid variant in the name of Omicron.

2022:
2022 could be summarised as a pretty weak year for Nifty with no new 1000 mark milestones reached all through the year. In fact it was a year which saw 2 major corrections of over 10% in a pretty short span of time. After the low hit in Dec 2022, markets rallied a bit upto levels of 18,350.95 seen on 18th Jan but couldn't go past it's earlier high of 18,604.45 on 19th Oct 2021. The markets in fact started grinding down breaking the Dec low and touching a new low point of 15,671.45 on 8th Mar during the wake of the Russia - Ukraine war. Just when markets were looking like arresting this horror run claiming back the mark of 18,000 in early April came another rude shock in the form of US Fed Rate hike making the markets tank towards levels of 15,183.40 seen on 17th June 2022. This was the second biggest fall for the Markets by over 18% after the Covid crash in Mar 2020. The Markets however found the resurgence to bounce back like it always does to generate a new life time high of 18,887.6 on 1st Dec. It took Nifty over a year to reclaim it's previous all time high made on 19th Oct 2021 to get it back on 28th Nov 2022. It was a turbulent year but the ending was a saving grace helping Nifty to close in the green for another year running.

2023:
Nifty had starting trouble in 2023 meandering it's way in the early part and then starting to go down with 17,000 being broken resulting in another correction of over 10% on 14th Mar largely due to domestic retail inflation remaining above tolerance level in addendum to the Adani saga pertaining to accusations made by the American firm Hindenburg. The fall however stopped at 16,828.35 at close to 11% from recent highs leading Nifty to stage a recovery once again. 17,000 was captured immediately and then 18,000 also was obtained again within less than a month and half finally paving the way to fresh highs registered on 29th May 2023 with the previous high of 1st Dec 2022 being taken out. Within a month on 28th June came the coveted figure of 19,000 for the first time and very soon on 11th Sep came the monumental mount everest milestone of 20,000. Just shy of 3 months occurred the new landmark of 21,000 on 8th Dec. Nifty marched along to reach a fresh new high of 21,801.45 towards the end of the year. Thus it could be said that 2023 was a year in which the start floundered but the end resulted in a flourish.

2024:
The Nifty began 2024 on a high note reaching the rippling summit of 22,000 on 15th Jan. This was followed by another cherished record of 23,000 hit on 24th May. 3rd Jun saw Nifty reach a peak of 23,338.70 on the back of exit polls giving a unanimous verdict towards BJP winning the Lok Sabha elections with overwhelming majority. The next day 4th Jun witnessed a rout of epic proportions as the actual results didn't meet the pollsters expectation with the Nifty tonking towards a low of 21,281.45 resulting in a cut of 2057.25 points from earlier day high leading to a cut of 9% on a single session which was the biggest ever since the Corona fiasco in March 2020. The Nifty recovered quite a few points on the same day and did a torpedo run regaining all it's lost points and surpassing itself to a new high in less than a week on 10th Jun. The fall and rise which happened so spectacularly swiftly was truly unprecedented. Very soon in the same month came the new landmark of 24,000 on 27th Jun. This did not stop as Nifty had more legs to run with 25,000 being scaled on 1st Aug. There was a small top out here with Nifty falling over 1000 points breaking even 24,000 due to news of unwinding of Yen carry trade in Japan along with recently announced weak US jobs and inflation data. This was however really shortlived as Nifty again continued on it's upsurge after the low of 23,893.70 on 5th Aug. The momentum didn't seem to suppress as another breakthrough of 26,000 was conquered on 24th Sep. Nifty ended up with a personal new best of 26,277.35 on the 27th of Sep. Nifty bottomed out after this with the last quarter being very weak starting with a heavy fall in Oct largely on the back of not up to the mark earnings by major corporates coupled with a huge spree of selling by Financial Institutional Investors (FIIs). There was a fall of almost 2000 points in Oct alone and Nifty eventually hit a low of 23,263.15 on 21st Nov cutting back over 3000 points from it's most recent high of 26,277.35 in Sep. Some recovery was seen in Dec with Nifty getting to 50% retracement levels from the lows but it was eventually sold into with Nifty not even able to reach back the mark of 25,000 let alone 26,000. Nifty finally ended the year well shy below the mark of 24,000 at 23,658.15 to be precise leading to close in the green on a year on year basis for the 9th straight year in a row since 2016.

Summarising briefly on all the 10% plus corrections in Nifty over last 5 years

March 2020 - Nifty hit a life time high of 12,430.50 on 20th Jan 2020 and then fell to a low of 7511.10 on 24th Mar leading to a cut of 4919.40 points taking into Bear Market territory by falling 39.58%. This was mainly due to the Covid pandemic spreading far and wide globally 

December 2021 - Nifty hit a life time high of 18,604.45 on 19th Oct 2021 and then fell to a low of 16,410.20 on 20th Dec leading to a cut of 2194.25 points putting it into correction territory by falling 11.79%. This was largely due to the double risk of re-occurrence of new Covid variant spread along with a spike in global inflation threatening economic recovery

March 2022 - After hitting a lifetime high of 18,604.45 on 19th Oct 2021, Nifty fell below 10% and recovered again beyond 18,000 reaching a recent near time high of 18,350.95 on 18th Jan but it couldn't sustain resulting in a pendulum like fall touching a low point of 15,671.45 on 8th Mar leading to a cut of 2933.00 points putting it back into correction territory by falling 15.77%. This was largely due to the escalation of the Russia Ukraine war.

June 2022 - Nifty again recovered sharply after the deep fall in March reclaiming the 18,000 mark once again hitting a near term top of 18,114.65 on 4th April on the day when the news of the merger between HDFC & HDFC Bank broke out. However it again failed to take back it's previous high and this time fell even more severely to levels of 15,183.40 witnessed on 17th June from the last all time high of 18,604.45 on 19th Oct 2021 leading to a cut from recent highs of 3421.05 putting it almost close to Bear market territory by falling 18.39% from last all time high. This was due to US Fed hiking rates.

March 2023 - After ending 2022 on a high with a new lifetime high touched on 1st Dec 2022 of 18,887.60, the markets again started going downhill in 2023 with a low reached of 16,828.35 on 20th Mar 2023 leading to a cut of 2059.25 points putting it back into correction zone by falling 10.90%. This was largely due to domestic retail inflation going beyond the threshold levels.

November 2024 - After the very recent high of 26,277.35 made on 27th Sep 2024, Nifty started colliding downwards with an extremely weak October month which continued onto November leading to a plummet towards levels of 23,263.15 thus falling by over 3000 points with 3014.20 points being exact making it go back to correction territory in a small time frame of less than 2 months by falling 11.47%. This was largely due to sluggish corporate earnings in addition to record selling by FIIs.

Thus, if one looks at it from a panoramic view, markets undergoes shifts resulting in turbulence of all kinds. Markets can move due to multiple reasons such as Health (Covid 19 pandemic, Second Wave etc), War (Russia vs Ukraine, Iraq war etc), Economy (Interest rate, Inflation, Currency Exchange, Dollar Index etc), Politics (Election results, Policy changes etc), Finance (Corporate Earnings, Company Performance etc), Data (Jobs, Taxes, Unemployment etc), News (Breaking news of Deals/Merger, Scandals & Fraud accusations such as Hindenburg on Adani etc), Competition (Other Avenues like Bitcoin/Commodities, New player in the market making inroads etc), Technology (Newer innovations like Artificial Intelligence, Measures to increase scale/production etc), International (Global Headwinds, Other Markets Cascading effect etc).

Looking at the outlook ahead for Nifty, viewing past data is a reasonable indicator. Many of the events which occurred in the last 5 years were unexpected and uncertain but still Nifty was able to hold it's head high and wade through troubled waters. The upcoming years also may spring plenty of negative surprises for which one has to factor in and be prepared for. One thing for certain is that as long as the world continues to be unpredictable, the markets will replicate the same and lead to corrections time and again in the years to come as well. But, having said that if the economy is able to sustain and grow despite whatever comes it's way and if that's also resonated with robust company earnings and clocking of good performances, one can be rest assured that markets will continue to soar and reach new heights in the years to come. Having seen a swing of close to 20,000 points from the low and high points across the period of 5 years from 2020-2024, anything is possible but on a reasonable estimate, one can expect Nifty to cross the milestone of 30,000 and the Grand Old Index Sensex to touch the 6 figure mark of 100,000 in the next 2-3 years. Without further ado, the golden rule and motto of staying invested holds good with patience eventually bearing fruit and reaping reward in the long run.

Sharing a small synopsis of year on year Nifty trend in addition to overall performance across 5 years.

Thus, if one looks at it, the year on year return for 2021 has been the most productive and the High to Low swing has been most predominant in the year 2020 when Nifty closed to doubled itself after the Covid crisis. From the beginning of 2020 to end of 2024, the Nifty has delivered a whopping return of almost 95% and from the stark lows to the euphoric highs, the returns have been approx 2.5x. Thus, if one probably invested during the Covid lows of Mar'20 and exited in Sep'24 which is a period of 4 and half years, the results suggest a staggering 250%. This table also illustrates that 'Time' is key when entering markets. It's never easy to time the market but if one had the belief to enter and stay invested, the returns that could have been made would be nothing short of astronomical even at an Index level.